Colorado Home Mortgage Banking
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Colorado Home Mortgage Banking

Colorado Home Mortgage Banking

Archive for June, 2008

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan: Price Resistance in MBS will it impact my rate?

Monday, June 30th, 2008

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates have reached the inevitable Ceiling of resistance in the Mortgage Backed Securities market.  For those who do not know what the Colorado Home Mortgage Loan price Ceiling is will need to pay special attention to what is said next.  The bond market has certain price points that investors become very cautious at, and the demand curve changes when these price points are achieved.  However once the price point is penetrated a new pricing Ceiling will be defined.  Like a price Ceiling, bonds can also have a price Floor that will react in a similar manner.  The price floor or price ceiling is determined by the direction bond prices are going. 

 

Now that I royally confused you let me give you an example of what I mean.  Let’s say the price of a bond is $100 and investors begin to buy and sell those bonds depending on the demand.  All of a sudden something is reported in the economic data that favors bond prices and the $100 bond begins to rise; $101, $102, $104, $107 . . . and so on.  Obviously as the bond price increases, Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates begin to decrease.  There is an Inverse relationship between bonds and Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates.  Anyways, as the price of the bond increases it tends to increase fairly quickly, but at a certain price point investors change their demand.  The point where demand for bonds changes is the point where bonds hit the proverbial wall of resistance.  In this example that might be $110. This is a point that the market will not generate any additional demand for bond price increases. In the event this happens Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates will be held in its place until something different happens in the market to create more demand.  In order to create more demand additional economic data will need to make its way into the market that favors Mortgage Backed Securities.  If this happens then the price ceiling barrier will be broken and a new price ceiling will be established.

 

How does that impact your Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates today?  Well we are hovering right around that 6.25% and 6.0% range for the 30 year Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate.  If we have additional economic news reporting, that favors Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates we might see the 30 year fixed rate move below 6.0% again.  Right now we are just waiting for something to happen.  Today, we did not get the push we needed to break that point of resistance.  In a short week it is hard to determine what might be needed to see Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates drop below that 6.0%.  We have a very big day on Thursday which will set the tone for Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates for the month of July.  Historically the summer months have not favored Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates, and so far history has repeated itself.  We are looking for any reason for rates to improve, but it seems that anytime we have nice improvements, inflationary pressures came back in the Headlines.  So we need to look at what will happen and when is the best time to react.  If you are looking to lock in your Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate in the near future then LOCKING now would be a good idea.  Most lenders have priced in the improvements seen in the Colorado Home Mortgage Loan market last week.  You should be able to get 6.0% today, and if it is offered you should take it.  If you are looking to close your loan in the next couple of weeks then Floating until Thursday may pay off.  However the risk/reward ratio does not appear to favor you.  My recommendation for today is to LOCK.  You will be .25% better then anything last week and about .5% better then two weeks ago. 

 

I will be keeping a close eye on all the reports due to be released this week.  If you want a brief explanation remember to visit my other site: www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news if you have any Colorado Home Mortgage Loan questions please let me know.  I hope to service you in the near future.    

Colorado Home Loan rate are coming down, but are they moving fast enough?

Friday, June 27th, 2008

Colorado Home Loan rates will be improving a bit today as the stock market takes yet another hit for the day.  We have seen the equities market take about a 15% decrease in the last couple of weeks which would normally be great for Colorado Home Loan rates.  I stated a couple of days ago that we had a number of economic reports coming out which should impact Colorado Home Loan rates.  Consumer Sentiment, Core PCE, and Personal income reports all came out today.  I will discuss those reports and yesterdays reports at www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news right now just know that the economic data today was for the most part positive news for Mortgage Backed Securities.  When the price of Bonds goes up Colorado Home Loan rates tend to dropJ 

 

So the battle rages on with investors on which direction our economy is headed.  Investors are faced with a very difficult decision in their investment strategies.  If the Economy continues to spiral downward then equities will be a poor choice.  We are seeing that in the stock market right now.  Colorado Home Loan rates should have had huge improvements while the stock market dropped.  The improvements we should have seen were halted by the continued threat of inflation.  Inflation is the second obstacle facing investors today.  If investors invest in long-term fixed rate bonds, and inflation gets out of control, investors will loose value in their portfolios.  So the question is what should investors do.  If in fact investors choose fixed rate investments over equities, Colorado Home Loan rates will improve. 

 

In the short run it certainly appears that poor economic conditions remain a bigger concern then inflation.  The Federal Reserve continues to push its actions toward improving economic conditions, while talking about inflationary pressures.  This tactic is used to stimulate the economic activity, while trying to hold off inflationary pressures.  We are still facing some major obstacles in the next 18 months and will not be able to really account for the aftermath until a recovery in our financial system begins.  We can see the impacts of inconsistency in Colorado Home Loan rates already.  Based on our current Economic condition there is no reason why the 30 year fixed Colorado Home Loan rate should be any higher then 5.0% flat.  This is a huge difference from where we are at now.  We are pushing the envelop on anything below 6.25% for any Colorado Home Loan program.  Even though we are above the 6.00% range we believe that some relief is in store.

 

Colorado Home Loan rates should continue to see relief despite the current inflationary pressures seen in Oil.  Colorado Home Loan rates will improve, because the economic issues are out weighing the cost increases that contribute to inflation.  Though Colorado Home Loan rates will improve, they will not improve as much as they should.  $142 a barrel of oil, COME ON!!! Can anyone who promised to protect the American people from foreign threats not see that this is a threat to our financial system?  Of course not, we have a bunch of talkers in the senate that would rather debate each other to death versus actually doing something.  At least when the Republican Party had control of congress things got done, mind you it was not always the right decision, but at least something happened.  We have now experienced a two year downward turn since the democratic lead Senate took over and so far NOTHING has happened.  I guess as most of you can see I am a Republican, but I am also honest enough to know that there is good to both parties, regardless of your political affiliation you have, something needs to be done.  Colorado Home Loan rates will continue to be in a state of confusion until we fix some of the variables impacting our markets from abroad.  Colorado Home Loan rates like any other interest rate instrument would stimulate our economy back if in fact rates were low enough.  Inflation already has several momentum building influences when money supply becomes less expensive.  When we add the unsustainable cost increases of oil to our inflationary numbers, it becomes very difficult to combat economic issues.  The tools used by the Federal Reserve to help stimulate the economy are limited by the constant treat of inflation.  When inflation presents itself without Federal Reserve intervention we are limiting what can be done to help stimulate our Economy.  Oil needs to be address and it needs to be addressed now, otherwise we will be in this economic rut longer then we need to be.

 

Sorry about that tangent.  I do want to quickly express my appreciation for Ben Bernanke I have criticized him a bit in the past, but I believe he is doing all he can to help our economic systems.  He is faced with many difficult obstacles never seen in our economy before and so far he has done everything he can to ensure that our situation does not get any worse.  Regardless of what you think about President Bush, his economic stimulus package that gave Americans additional funds late April and May showed that at least he is willing to do something.  I am maintaining a FLOAT recommendation today and so far the MBS markets appear to be favoring Colorado Home Loan rates.  We have not seen any substantial decreases over the last few days, but we do not foresee any major reports that will drive Colorado Home Loan rates up.  Every time I watch Lender activity it appears that they are moving Colorado Home Loan rates up quickly and bringing them down slowly.  Right now we are seeing the momentum for Colorado Home Loan rates coming downward. 

 

Please give me a call about your Colorado Home Loan rates, and hopefully I did not offend anyone.  I really enjoy everyone’s perspective and can sometimes be opinionated.

 

God Bless and have a great weekend.

 

Daniel

Colorado Mortgage rates react to poor Consumer Sentiment numbers

Tuesday, June 24th, 2008

Colorado Mortgage rates seem to be improving a bit today; however it is not enough to make any difference on current long term interest rates.  Consumer Sentiment hit an all time low coming in just over 50.0.  This is the lowest Consumer Sentiment reading yet, and is a strong signal that consumers want more action in the economy.  Colorado Mortgage rates typically will improve on any information related to negative economic news.  Consumer Sentiment is an economic report that shows how consumers see the market and what they believe our economic outlook will be in the near future.  Today’s reading was very low and is the lowest report every recorded in Consumer Sentiment history.  Right now it appears that people have very negative opinions on where the economy is and what’s to come.  As a result consumers are less likely to spend creating even more obstacles in the economy. 

Colorado Mortgage rates were also impacted by the lack of volume being traded in the Mortgage Backed Securities market.  Most investors are standing by in anticipation of what will come from the FOMC meeting currently taking place.  The Federal Open Market Committee plays an important role in determining which direction Colorado Mortgage rates go.  The Federal Reserve board will be fighting a tough battle today behind closed doors.  They will certainly be discussing which issue to address in the coming months, inflation or economic instability.  Both work inversely to each other and the tools used by the Federal Reserve will yield opposite results depending on which direction the Fed’s chooses.  Colorado Mortgage rates will have a bad reaction to anything related to inflationary risk.  If the Federal Reserve takes steps to decrease inflation in the market, Colorado Mortgage rates will go up.  This is interesting because high inflation is bad for Colorado Mortgage rates.  So why does actions that lower inflation cause Colorado Mortgage rates to rise?  The market views this in the short term as a potential risk that inflation is already to high.  This makes long term investments less valuable to sell.  In the short run, Colorado Mortgage rates will increase due to concern related to high inflation risk.  If the Federal Reserves focus turns to Economic stability and nothing is said about inflation, we will see Colorado Mortgage rates improve.  This action will send a message to the investment world that economic stability is weak and that a safe long term investment may yield a better return.

Colorado Mortgage rates will have plenty of economic data released tomorrow which will add to any movements caused by the FOMC.  Durable Goods and New Home Sales will both be apart of the information investors will need to digest in order to make their decision for what action to take in the market.  You can go to www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news to get more information on these reports and what is expected to happen.  In short investors are expecting durable goods orders to increase from last month, which is typical in the summer months.  A negative reporting number for Durable Goods will allow Colorado Mortgage rates to drop.  New Home Sales on the other hand is expected to drop again to a new 5 year low.  If we see anything lower then what is expected we should see Colorado Mortgage rates improve again.  I will give you my expectations on these reports at my other site.

In Conclusion the real question is to Float or Lock your Colorado Mortgage rate.  To determine this you need to decide how risk adverse you are.  If you like risk and like the rewards that come from risk, you will need to float your Colorado Mortgage rate today.  The FOMC is split on what direction they want to go, but Bernanke holds the final card and he is clear that the Economy will be his first and strongest focus.  I believe that this will come out in tomorrow’s information and short term interest rates will go untouched.  Keep in mind I am right about 85% of the time.  We will have to wait and see.  I also believe that both economic reports due to be released will come in lower then expected, which is one more added incentive in driving Colorado Mortgage rates down a bit latter this week.  For those that don’t like risk, you should have already locked, if not you have about 2 hours to get this done.  Colorado Mortgage rates will jump up if anything is released from the meeting notes indicating fears of inflation.  Heck the Federal Reserve members may take action that states the focus is for Economic stimulus, but talk about inflationary issues.  This will happen so that they can try and tackle two fronts both inflation and economic growth.  The reason I don’t believe this will happen is, it is counter productive as it relates to one issue or the other.  If the board appears to be split on what action to take you might have some members yelling inflation even though action was not taken to combat the economic stimulus issues.  Finally, the summer months are normally big home sale months and currently the consensus for new home sales appears to be at a record low.  The consensus may be set a bit to low and if New Home sales beat expectations it could send the wrong message about our economic condition.  Strong housing numbers typically insinuates an improving market and having our consensus set too low opens the door for housing numbers to beat expectations.  Even if expectations are beat tomorrow anything close to expectations would still be a negative sign for our economy.

Please give me a chance to work with you and let us provide you with the right Colorado Mortgage option.  We are committed to bring you the best Colorado Mortgage service in the market and look forward to working with you.  Please call me anytime you can talk to me directly.

           

Colorado Online Mortgage see no movement in rates today

Friday, June 20th, 2008

Colorado Online Mortgage rate had no reaction to today’s stock market drops.  Normally when funds are taken out of equities it is reinvested in bonds.  When this happens Colorado Online Mortgage rates tend to get better.  Today we saw some slight improvements, but not enough to make any Colorado Online Mortgage rate changes.  Luckily Colorado Online Mortgage rates stopped its upward momentum which was seen in the market yesterday.  Because there was no economic data due to be released, Investors found themselves looking to the Headlines for information.  Our next economic data report will be consumer sentiment and based off of previous reports we expect this data to favor Colorado Online Mortgage rates.  So what did the Headlines report today?, and will it have any impacts on future Colorado Online Mortgage rates? 

 

The S&P saw a 3% decline in the market overall this week and today’s 220 point drop certainly did not help an already troubled market.  Normally Colorado Online Mortgage rates would have responded well, but the demand overall in both equities and bonds were very low.  Israel ran some simulated war maneuvers in anticipation for possible air strikes against Iranian nuclear power plants.  This caused investors trading in oil futures to drive the price of oil back up.  The price increases were due to fears that the Iranians could hinder oil supplies from getting out of the Middle East.  Markets tend to react irrationally when uncertainty presents itself on the trading floor.  Stability in the Middle East has always had its share of uncertainty, but the new developments in Israel added to investors concerns. 

 

Here are the following elements impacting the market; bad corporate profit reports, Financial Markets in complete disarray, and finally uncertainty in global politics.  We have the makings of a real inferno and investors are scared.  With this much instability going on, it’s hard to think that Colorado Online Mortgage rates will not improve.  Investors are attracted to safer investment like bonds during times of uncertainty.  Based on the current economic conditions, we are defiantly way over priced as it relates to Colorado Online Mortgage rates.  The reason we are not seeing improvements in our Colorado Online Mortgage rates is simple, inflation.  I know I have talked about this in several other postings, but it’s a powerful force and it must be talked about again and again. 

Fears about inflation will be the biggest driver of Colorado Online Mortgage rates, and unless investors see something that indicates inflation is not as bad as it is perceived to be, Colorado Online Mortgage rates will not improve to the point it should be.  Investors will be keeping a very close eye on any inflationary reports to gain real perspective on where current inflation is.  So far these reports have been on our side and again should have had a positive impact on Colorado Online Mortgage rates.  The proverbial boogie man seems to keep investors in the distance, and why shouldn’t investors be spooked when the Federal Reserve continues to tell Ghost stories.  One Federal Reserve member after another expressed concerns over inflation and utilized a media tactic to direct investor behavior which negatively impacted Colorado Online Mortgage rates.   Most of what was said should be a concern, but it may have been a little premature, especially since now it appears that the Federal Reserve will take no action in its future Federal Reserve Meeting.  I can’t begin to tell you what the solutions are to get us out of this damned if you do damned if you don’t type market, but I do have faith in the market and eventually the market will correct itself.  

 

Colorado Online Mortgage rates will improve again and our market will rebound to a point where investor can feel good about making aggressive financial decisions.  The market just needs time and I am projecting this correction in the market to take at least 12 – 18 months.  So hang in there and please give me a call about your Colorado Online Mortgage questions.  Have a great weekend.

 

Daniel

Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance: Lock Recommendation

Thursday, June 19th, 2008

Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rates appear to be heading back up a bit based on the sell off pressure in the Mortgage Backed Securities market.  Most of today’s pressure appears to be investors capitalizing on short term profits from the recent gains seen in the MBS market.  Today’s Economic data favored Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rates but it has not shown up on today’s Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rate sheets.  We should lock in a rate before we loose any ground in the market.  Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rates may take a couple of days to recover, but it should get better.  I just don’t want you to get stuck in a small spike situation.  You will probably not loose out if you decide to float, but investors seem to be somewhat unpredictable with their sell and buy tendencies.  The economic data due to be released next week should give Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rates another boost in its attempts to make up some of the increases seen from last week.

 

Colorado Home Mortgage rates should have reacted to the Economic data that was released today, but so far it has not had the reaction that we would have expected.  Jobless Claims, Leading indicators, and Philadelphia Fed Index all came in either meeting expectations or worse then expectations.  You can find out more about the actual data at www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news for now just know that the data was favorable to Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance market.  The Primary reason for Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rates not moving on the information is due to profit takers looking for a short term gain by selling MBS.  Next week we will see another consumer sentiment report which rates people’s perception of the market  We expect that this report will come in at an new all time low.  This will have investors looking for a secure investment and will help drive Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rate downward.  The consensus is that the report will come in around 57 which will set a new record low for this economic indicator.

 

Finally we need to look at the spread lenders are currently pricing into the Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rate sheets.  It appears that the cushion that lenders had last week are now in line.  This is probably why we saw our late afternoon Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rate improvements yesterday.  Please continue to stay tuned and don’t feel bad if you decided to FLOAT.  I do believe that Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rates will see continued improvements through next week.  The reason I am making the Sort term Lock recommendation for your Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance rate today is strictly for people closing in the next 10 days otherwise we will remain with our FLOAT recommendation.  Please call me with your Colorado Home Mortgage Refinance questions and let me know how I can help you.

 

Daniel

Colorado Mortgage Rates appear to be moving in the right direction

Wednesday, June 18th, 2008

Colorado Mortgage Rates appear to be moving in the right direction today feeding off of economic data released yesterday.  It appears that in a society of short attention spans, we are now focusing on economic issues and have forgotten inflationary fears from last week.  Colorado Mortgage Rates seem to be doing better today, which should translate to another .125% Colorado Mortgage Rate reduction.  We still have some cushion built into Colorado Mortgage Rates being offered by our investors, which means that we have some room to improve.  We still have three more economic reports for the week.  These reports may or may not impact Colorado Mortgage rates.  All of these reports will be available tomorrow.  We will need to wait and see if the consensus estimates on these reports are accurate.  Only surprises in the reports will cause any real shifts with Colorado Mortgage rates.  I believe that we are in a FLOAT situation through today.  If the economic reports favor Colorado Mortgage Rates tomorrow then our FLOAT recommendation will be extended through Monday.

 

Colorado Mortgage Rates seem to be reacting to just about anything being reported in the market.  Obviously Colorado Mortgage rates were priced much higher due to inflation fears.  The question is how undervalued is the market?  The answer depends on how investors feel the state of the economy is and will be over the next 6 months.  Investors are now starting to see that the economic issues are our out weighing the inflationary issues.  If this perception continues we will probably see Colorado Mortgage Rates make up a lot of ground lost over the last 2 weeks.  It’s hard to determine exactly how much ground will be made up, but Colorado Mortgage Rates will improve.  Colorado Mortgage Rates jump up almost 1% from the low points experienced in early April, and the markets are now starting to see the impact of these higher Colorado Mortgage rates. 

 

Colorado Mortgage Applications are at its lowest point since August of 2006, New home permits are also drastically down.  It appears that the Colorado Mortgage market has hit a bit of a stand still, probably because consumers don’t know they have other options.  If you are set to LOCK in your Colorado Mortgage rate then 6.25% can be found.  Not a great rate, but a lot better then a 6.5% Colorado Mortgage rate being offered earlier in the week.  If you have the ability to hold off and you have not locked in yet we may see 6.00% Colorado Mortgage rates earlier then you think.  Keep in mind we still have programs available at 5.375% if you need something low right now.  The Colorado Mortgage Program using this low Colorado Mortgage Rate is a good program and has my full support.  I am a conservative Colorado Mortgage broker and do not put my stamp of approval on just anything.  Call me and I will tell you how this Colorado Mortgage Program works.  I will post my 2nd article on www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news after lunch.  Until then have a great day.  I just checked the Mortgage Backed Securities Market again and it appears that we are still improving so FLOATING your Colorado Mortgage Rate should pay off.  I will explain the Headlines impacting Colorado Mortgage Rates at the same website posted above.

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates find some help in the market today

Tuesday, June 17th, 2008

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates saw some relief from a variety of economic reports indicating no major surprises.  Inflationary numbers appeared to be in line with expectations and the feared increases in inflation brought on by the Federal Reserve appear for now to be overstated.  Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates dropped a bit on the news, but best of all, rates don’t seem to be climbing.  A much needed break from what Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates have been doing over the last couple of weeks.  It may take some time before we see Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates drop significantly, but for now we are heading in the right direction.  We had four economic reports released today, you can read more about their exact impacts at www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news but the overall effect from these reports were positive.  I am maintaining a FLOAT recommendation through Thursday, mainly because not all of the Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate improvements have shown up on the investor rate sheets.  Much of the improvements are being held back right now in the event something else rocks the bond market as sparks another sell off of Mortgage backed Securities.

 

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates still appear to be undervalued in the bond markets. Based on the economic data reports; we still have some room to see rates trickle down even further.  The MBS market closed 14 ticks higher then when it closed yesterday, which translates to about 1/8th better for Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates.  We should continue to see improvements tomorrow as no economic data will be released.  The lack of data allows headlines to dictate market movement, and we have already seen a bulk of the bad headlines make its way into the market.  I am expecting Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates to maintain its current downward direction through tomorrow.  Thursday will be another big day on the economic reporting front with three additional reports will find its way into the market.  Jobless claims, leading indicator, and Philadelphia Fed Index are all due to report, and based on the consensus, I believe we could have another good day for Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates. 

 

We should not forget that we still have some major obstacles to overcome before Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates see anything below the 6.0% range.  It has been awhile since I recommended a LOCK situation and would advise you to seriously look at locking tomorrow if in fact you are closing in the next 10 days.  My goal for your Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates is to see it at 6.0% or below.  I have had to move my Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate lock recommendation up and up based on market conditions, but we have been able to lock in under small pockets of rate drop periods.  It has been very tough over the last 3 weeks and we have had the FLOAT recommendation ever since.  I believe if we continue to see the movement we are seeing over the last few days Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates may find its way back to 6.0%.  Right Now I do not see that in the cards for at least another 2 weeks, which means a lot of momentum needs to show up before Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates drop to that point.  If time is not on your side, we have other options to keep you below 5.5%, but these options are only a temporary fix.  If you need to LOCK today and only want a FIXED rate option then 6.25% will be the Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate to settle for.

 

Please call me with your Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate questions and give us a chance to show you what we can do for you.


Daniel   

Colorado Online Mortgage: Is there Relief in sight?

Monday, June 16th, 2008

 

Colorado Online Mortgage rates have been getting some support with a variety of Economic Reports already released.  CPI which we talked about on Friday should have had some real positive reactions in the Colorado Online Mortgage Market.  Much of the Colorado Online Mortgage Rate increases were due to inflationary concern and our first real inflationary report of the month indicated better then expected inflationary numbers.  Producer Price Index will be the second inflationary report to be reported on this month and I am expecting similar results.  Colorado Online Mortgage Rates typically react to economic reports more then anything else, however when the Federal Reserve board speaks the market tends to react even more then the Economic Facts themselves.  That is the problem right now.  Exactly how many reports can come out before those inflationary fears go away is still up in the air.  Right now Colorado Online Mortgage Rates will continue to react to the fear versus the actual Economic data being released.  Until those fears are pushed away, you can expect Colorado Online Mortgage rates to continue to climb.

 

So how can we predict what will happen next and what steps you should take to protect your Colorado Online Mortgage program right now?  The answer requires you to understand a bit of what has already happened in the market and the likely hood of what is to come.  Basically speaking if we look at the historical trends that are tied to Colorado Online Mortgage rates, we can easily see that the up and down swings currently finding its way in the market, patterns itself in line with normal economic cycles.  We fall into the same patterns that we have been seeing for many, many years.  We have experienced these up swings before, just look at where Colorado Online Mortgage rates were in August of 2007.  Just because we are at a much higher point today, does not mean Colorado Online Mortgage rates will not find its way back down.  We are a society that reacts to the right now, and patience is a virtue that can pay off for you in the future.  You have to have faith in your Colorado Online Mortgage provider that they understand the trends going on and that they structure your Colorado Online Mortgage to a point that will yield you the best results today and in the future.  Right now is not the right time to over react we need to stay the course and figure out what the best Colorado Online Mortgage program will be for you.  When rates are as high as they are a temporary fix can help your Colorado Online Mortgage situation a great deal.  For example I can still get your Colorado Online Mortgage rate below 5.5%.  Call me about that and I will be happy to explain.

 

I got off on a little bit of a tangent and want to re-focus my attention to the Colorado Online Mortgage Market.  Over the last 3 or 4 business days, economic reports have indicated better then expected news for Colorado Online Mortgage rates.  Jobless Claims, CPI, Core CPI, Consumer Sentiment, and today Empire State Manufacturing Surveys have all displayed economic data that should have favored Colorado Online Mortgage rates.  Though these reports came in favorable to Colorado Online Mortgage rates, we still witnessed an overall increase in the Colorado Online Mortgage Rate market.  The increases seen in the Colorado Online Mortgage rate market despite the positive economic data, indicates how powerful our Federal Reserve really is.  The Federal Reserve can drastically move the Colorado Online Mortgage markets by carefully choosing the right topics to talk about in their speeches to the press.  Inflation continues to haunt us and will do so until investors fears go away, or GREED takes over. 

 

We forget that investors love making money and will overcome any fear they have as long as the risk/reward makes sense.  As Colorado Online Mortgage bond prices drop investors begin to take notice.  At a certain price point fear goes away and investors will buy Mortgage Backed Securities.  When the buying demand increases we will see Colorado Online Mortgage rates begin to drop again.  We will also see some of the fears associated with buying MBS dwindle, as more economic data indicators favor Colorado Online Mortgage bonds over high risk equity securities.  So when you really look at it, we have several indicators favoring a drop in Colorado Online Mortgage rates: 1. Historical data indicates we are at a high point and rates should start to fall again, 2. Economic data seem to indicate favorable movement with Colorado Online Mortgage rates, and finally 3.  Investors will take advantage of buying bonds that are selling as low as they are.  Ultimately investors trading in Mortgage Backed Securities are profit seekers and will always look for the short term profit opportunities.  The only thing currently working against Colorado Online Mortgage rates will be the fear of inflation.  We will need time to realize how bad or good inflation really is.  The facts don’t lie and investors will grow tired of seeing their peers making money in the Mortgage Backed Securities market while they stand by.  Inflation concerns are being reinforced by higher oil prices and are a good way to see why investors believe inflation will go up.  We must remember that prices are still dictated by demand and though one component appears to be pushing prices up, unless consumers are willing to spend (consumer sentiment at an all time low) price wont go up.  We have an abundance of people providing a supply of goods and services and most of them will see profit margins drop in order to see profits at all. 

 

This is a good explanation on what I think the Colorado Online Mortgage Rate market faces today.  We will have some people agree with what is said in this post and some people will not, but ultimately the future will play out the facts. In the mean time you should be working with someone who understands the Colorado Online Mortgage Market.  We will provide that service to you and will work hard to get you in the right Colorado Online Mortgage program today.  Don’t settle for anything less.  Call me for any other information you might need to make your next Colorado Online Mortgage decision.  God Bless.

 

As always don’t for get to go to www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news for some additional information.

 

Daniel

Colorado Home Mortgage

Friday, June 13th, 2008

Colorado Home Mortgage rates seem to be getting some relief today after the release of the Consumer Price index.  CPI measures real inflation, which has been the hot topic for Colorado Home Mortgage rates over the last 5 days.  Inflation fears have contributed about a .75% rate increase with Colorado Home Mortgage programs over the last week.  Colorado Home Mortgage rates have not been this high since August of last year, making the relief well over due.  It appears that the Mortgage Backed Securities market will trade higher today and over the weekend allowing some much needed relief in Colorado Home Mortgage rates.  How much relief will depend on how aggressive investors get, but the feeling right now is that the relief will come slowly.  We have one more inflationary report to be released for the month and that is Producer Price Index which will come out on Tuesday.  We will need to keep a close eye on PPI next week, if PPI reports in line with expectations, next week could be a good week for Colorado Home Mortgage rates.

 

Our biggest enemy right now was our best friend 6 months ago, and that is the Federal Reserve.  The Federal Reserve utilizes many techniques to move the market in the direction it chooses.  Colorado Home Mortgage rates are influenced by these actions.  The Federal Reserve has utilized a scare tactic over the last 10 days or so, by openly discussing serious concerns with inflation.  These speeches created some strong movement out of long term investments, which caused Colorado Home Mortgage rates to go up.  What investors now have to do is determine how much of the information being expressed by the Federal Reserve is fluff and how much is real.  Colorado Home Mortgage rates hate inflation and the most credible source for getting the information on inflation to us is the Federal Reserve.  So why question their intentions right?  Well the Federal Reserve is also responsible for lowering the risk of inflation.  By generating fear about inflation the Federal Reserve can slow down Economic progression.  This is one technique they use to reduce inflationary pressures.  I am not sure if that is the right approach, but it does work.  Tuesday will give investors the last piece of the puzzle for the month on inflation.  If Producers Price Index comes in as expected we should see next weeks Colorado Home Mortgage rates drop.

 

Colorado Home Mortgage rates are at a high point for the year, and it has become tougher and tougher to recommend a FLOAT or LOCK recommendation.  Based on today’s information and looking at where inflation came in at, I believe that FLOATING your loan is a good risk.  Investors need a little time to price back out of the safety zone currently seen in their Colorado Home Mortgage rates.  This means we have room to improve.  The economic news has also been good for Colorado Home Mortgage rates making a FLOAT recommendation that much easier to make.  Stay tuned for PPI that will come out on Tuesday.  We will be hoping that PPI reports at or below expectations.  We will give you the information as soon as we know.  In the mean time let me help you with your Colorado Home Mortgage questions and feel free to call me directly.  If you have time, check out www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news  I will be reporting on all the economic reports from today and their impacts.  All you really need to know though, is that the reports favored Colorado Home Mortgage Rate improvements and seem to be carrying enough momentum to get us through the weekend.  Until we write again have a safe and fun weekend.

 

Daniel 

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan: Inflation keeps rates moving up

Thursday, June 12th, 2008

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates appear to be on the rise yet again.  I will get into the more technical reasoning on why at www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news.  For now let’s keep things simple.  Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates continue to climb on information being released that inflation has begun to increase higher then expected.  So far we have seen the biggest increases since 2007 and it appears that we are not slowing down.  Let’s take a look at the variety of economic reports which came out today and had an impact on where Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates were heading.  The first was Retail Sales which came in better then expected but not enough to show any strong improvements with our Economy.  It was enough however to move Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates in the wrong direction.  I don’t know why the increased level in sales was such a surprise.  I honestly believe that the consensus was set too low.  In a society willing to spend whatever they have what else do you think could happen as millions of Americans received tax refund checks.  This should not have been the surprise it was and it certainly should not have caused Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates to move the way they did. 

 

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate movement can be contributed mainly today to the on going negative inflationary news being released by economic data and media attention.  Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate sensitivity is at an all time high especially on anything related to inflation.  Import and Export prices were released indicating increased price movement over last month.  This is an inflationary report and will have an impact over today’s Mortgage Backed Securities market.  The consensus for Import and Export prices were that prices would remain unchanged, but in stead it came in showing an increased price movement.  The price increase indicated that inflation was on the rise and as a result the market reacted accordingly.  The pressures realized in the report created more upward movements in Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates.  I am not sure why experts though inflationary pressure would be lower this month then last month, but that is what the consensus stated.  I am a bit surprised that the consensus on price movement was so low, I would have predicted some movement but I guess that is why the experts release the consensus data in the first. 

                                                                                                    

Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates reacted to one other economic report being released today which was the Jobless Claims report.  This report came in worse then expected and was the only report today that should have helped Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates.  However the news was not good enough to stop the upward movement already felt in the Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rate market.  Inflation is obviously the primary concern right now and the Federal Reserve Board is not holding back.  We have heard from several members lately that inflation is quickly becoming the Boards Primary objective.  Yesterday Charles Plosser went on record expressing concern and his focus on a growing inflationary problem.  The message delivered by Charles Plosser could have in itself created much of the movement felt today on Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates.

 

 Finally it has become increasingly more difficult to put a LOCK or FLOAT recommendation in place but here are the facts and you make the decision.  If CPI reports higher then expected tomorrow Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates will continue to climb even higher then current rates.  We are at a point where the price ceiling has been breached and Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates will move up quickly.  If you are going to close in the next 10 days then LOCKING would be recommended.  The risk reward is not that good.  If you have time to gamble then a lower then expected CPI report will have rates improve quite a bit.  We just don’t know how much the inflation fears will continue to cause Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates to move.  One thing to think about current Lenders have hedged themselves a bit too much putting them in a safer position.  In the mean time they are putting consumers in a position where Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates are about .25% higher then they should be.  This is why a low CPI report should move Colorado Home Mortgage Loan rates down fairly quickly.   I will talk a lot more about interest rate movement on www.Coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news but for now LOCK if you are closing in the next 10 days, FLOAT if you have over 15 days before closing.

 

Call me with your Colorado Home Mortgage Loan questions.

 

Daniel   

 

Colorado Home Mortgage Banking
Colorado Home Mortgage Banking