Colorado Home Mortgage rates improve for the second straight day
Thursday, May 15th, 2008Colorado Home Mortgage rates improved today on the release of several poor performing economic data reports. These reports reminded investors that we are still not out of the woods yet. Our economic situation seems, at least for the moment, uncertain about immediate recovery. Colorado Home Mortgage rates always do better during uncertainty. We had a rough week last week as it relates to Colorado Home Mortgage rates and much of what was lost last week has found its way back into the market this week. We will continue to support a LOCK recommendation around 5.75%. Today 5.875% would be a no cost lock; where as 5.75% would still carry a small cost. Let’s give it another day or so before making any quick decisions, it appears that the data coming out still has some room to improve Colorado Home Mortgage rates over the next day or so. We will maintain a FLOAT recommendation through the weekend. I will certainly advise a LOCK if something big happens, but tomorrow’s economic data will more then likely reflect a similar negative message being communicated by the reports today.
Go to www.coloradohomemortgageloan.net/news to get the details on the specifics of each report released today, for those who just want the basics this is the site to keep book-marked. Colorado Home Mortgage rates will be impacted by tomorrow’s economic releases. Housing starts and Consumer Sentiment are both on the clock tomorrow and both reports are expected to come in negative. Consumer Sentiment is a no brainer, as a whole people still believe we are in a tough situation and whether it is political, economical or local the problems still remain the same. People do not have confidence that our economy is in a state of recover and instead believe that tougher times are ahead. This will be reflected in the story told in the Consumer Sentiment data released in the morning. Consumer Sentiment readings that come in low normally indicates low consumer spending. When this happens a safer investment portfolio makes sense which will increase the demand for Mortgage Backed Securities. Long story short it will allow Colorado Home Mortgage rates to drop for a third straight dayJ We do have one negative possibility that could move Colorado Home Mortgage rates back up a bit and we know them in the investment world as profit seekers (read my other blog) they could be the red herring on any large movements expected in rates in the next 24 hours.
Finally, we have the housing starts report, which normally this time of year begins to gain momentum. Builders typically build more in the summer however the problem here is supply. Right now with so many homes on the market adding additional supply is not profitable, which signals that this report like the previous 7 housing starts reports should come in low. The question is did the experts predict the housing starts report appropriately. We will see. The Mortgage Backed Securities market did close today with some nice gains and more importantly a consistent gain throughout the day. This should have been reflected in some decent improvements for Colorado Home Mortgage rates. I checked out several investors today and they are still a little conservative in their rate sheets so we have not seen all the Colorado Home Mortgage price improvements that I would have expected, which certainly means that FLOATING through the weekend should be a safe bet.
The Last thing I will say is be careful not to allow yourself to be to heavily influenced by what you hear. Look at the simple data and make your decisions on what you think the market is doing. I am also easily influenced by what other people are saying. I do not come up with all of this on my own, I read a lot to get this information out and the sources I read the information from will always push their personal opinions. Heck my personal opinion comes out in every message I write. I have had a strong stance that our economy appears to be in a recession and I have stuck to this for some time, but over the last three weeks we have had a few reports come out that seem to tell a different story. Of course every expert on the planet has to have something to say about it and when you hear it enough you begin to believe it. I bought into this as well, however today’s data came in pretty bad and unfortunately we will not know how close to a recession we are in until we are almost out of it. Colorado Home Mortgage rates go up and down based on investor impulse and opinions on where the economy is heading and what the economy has to day today. When they feel things are getting better for the economy, Colorado Home Mortgage rates suffer. Likewise, when we fall on bad Economic times Colorado Home Mortgage rates drop. Right now our economy is in a state where Colorado Home Mortgage rates should be at an all time low, but the simple fact is we have way too much data to sort through, which allows everyone to have an opinion. Stick to the basic, and call me with your Colorado Home Mortgage questions.
Daniel





